0x1f631529d5ee1b16f487ad6244a2271201746a6e
0x1f631529d5ee1b16f487ad6244a2271201746a6e
- Realised P&L
- $-6.15
- Volume
- $404.70
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $3.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singapore Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Maja Chwalinska · Maja Chwalinska | 0.690 | 0.925 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants · Yomiuri Giants | 0.570 | 0.585 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.545 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Serbia vs. Belgium · Serbia | 0.480 | 0.245 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.98at 0.176Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.82at 0.318Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$5.02at 0.297Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$4.99at 0.500Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
- +$4.77at 0.308Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 04:27 | Singapore Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Maja Chwalinska | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 04:22 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 04:19 | Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:43 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:42 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:23 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:22 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:21 | St. Tropez: Grigor Dimitrov vs Edas Butvilas | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:26 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:25 | Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-09-21? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:24 | Sabres vs. Penguins | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:23 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:50 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:49 | Seahawks vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 15:33 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |