0x1f62ca77f39f46127d29b85270cbd865211c1992
- Realised P&L
- $-23.58
- Volume
- $287.95
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $54.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 19? · No | 0.760 | 0.710 | $14.20 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19? · No | 0.730 | 0.620 | $11.16 | −$1.98 |
| Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 15? · No | 0.580 | 0.340 | $6.80 | −$4.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19? · No | 0.690 | 0.445 | $5.74 | −$3.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 19? · No | 0.660 | 0.605 | $4.84 | −$0.44 |
| Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by October 31? · No | 0.610 | 0.310 | $3.26 | −$3.15 |
| Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31? · No | 0.530 | 0.330 | $2.61 | −$1.58 |
| Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 15? · No | 0.500 | 0.290 | $2.34 | −$1.70 |
| Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 18? · No | 0.680 | 0.500 | $2.00 | −$0.72 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 19? · No | 0.610 | 0.565 | $1.45 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.700Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?
- +$0.00at 0.750Will it rain in New York, NY on September 17?
- +$0.00at 0.550Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?
- +$0.00at 0.760Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 19?