PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1f62c45089614597d19587613ad996a5a85a9472

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$41.5k
Markets traded
738
Open portfolio
$385.67

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded738
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? · Yes0.2001.000$57.03+$45.62
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series? · Yes0.1431.000$50.00+$42.86
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.5001.000$49.74+$24.87
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.5000.716$42.93+$12.93
Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? · Yes0.2001.000$39.47+$31.58
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.5001.000$26.46+$13.23
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.0280.620$18.91+$18.06
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0200.323$13.83+$12.95
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0200.234$10.53+$9.61
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0450.815$9.02+$8.52
Will Taylor Brown win Big Brother season 28? · Yes0.0240.136$8.16+$6.70
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m? · Yes0.1671.000$8.08+$6.73
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0450.123$6.70+$4.23
Will Connor Storrie be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes0.5000.095$5.70$24.30
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0200.079$4.71+$3.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 05:51Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?SELL0.3$0.87
07-15 22:06Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?SELL0.3$1.50
07-14 21:13Will Justin Bieber be the third most streamed artist for 2026?SELL0.074$1.49
07-14 20:51Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?SELL0.091$0.27
07-14 04:32Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?SELL0.3422433333$20.53
07-13 18:59Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?SELL0.23$1.15
07-13 08:15Will Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?SELL0.049$1.32
07-13 04:20Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.05$2.52
07-13 03:57Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.081$1.54
07-13 03:40Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.087$5.22
07-13 03:17Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?SELL0.26$1.78
07-12 00:41Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?SELL0.11$1.38
07-11 19:55Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?SELL0.3$18.00
07-11 18:05Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?SELL0.76$3.80
07-11 16:03Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?SELL0.29$5.81