0x1f62c45089614597d19587613ad996a5a85a9472
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $41.5k
- Markets traded
- 738
- Open portfolio
- $385.67
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded738
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$138.46at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$103.53at 0.045Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$101.46at 0.045Will "The Crash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$89.66at 0.500Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
- +$84.43at 0.500Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 05:51 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.87 |
| 07-15 22:06 | Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 07-14 21:13 | Will Justin Bieber be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.074 | $1.49 |
| 07-14 20:51 | Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | SELL | 0.091 | $0.27 |
| 07-14 04:32 | Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.3422433333 | $20.53 |
| 07-13 18:59 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 07-13 08:15 | Will Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? | SELL | 0.049 | $1.32 |
| 07-13 04:20 | Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.52 |
| 07-13 03:57 | Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.081 | $1.54 |
| 07-13 03:40 | Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.087 | $5.22 |
| 07-13 03:17 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.78 |
| 07-12 00:41 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.38 |
| 07-11 19:55 | Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $18.00 |
| 07-11 18:05 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 07-11 16:03 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.81 |