PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1f55526663a32D5599138ec02be138e537DCe9A4-1768601824177

0x1f55526663a32d5599138ec02be138e537dce9a4

Realised P&L
$-30.1k
Volume
$4.93M
Markets traded
543
Open portfolio
$392.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded543
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.017$392.36+$92.38
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 5? · No0.0330.000$0.00$93.03
Will Solana dip to $75 on April 7? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$442.18
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 8? · No0.0360.000$0.00$100.00
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22? · Yes0.2090.000$0.00$397.27
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 9? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$500.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 8? · No0.0470.000$0.00$372.54
Will Solana dip to $30 in March? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$349.97
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3? · No0.0160.000$0.00$46.46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30? · No0.1010.000$0.00$200.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$599.97
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? · Yes0.5510.000$0.00$2.2k
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on March 12? · No0.0430.000$0.00$29.99
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 12? · No0.0300.000$0.00$65.35
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 19? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 23:36Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.008$10.00
05-19 22:50Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.1299999987$80.00
05-19 22:50Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.1299999995$200.00
05-19 22:44Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.1393857733$189.10
05-19 22:41Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.1399999994$192.88
05-19 22:38Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.15$194.55
05-19 22:35Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.119999999$100.00
05-16 23:58Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 16?BUY0.0451362229$14.58
05-16 23:57Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?SELL0.0821908373$129.21
05-16 10:40Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?BUY0.0516828087$15.00
05-16 10:38Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?BUY0.0324415351$300.00
05-16 10:38Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?BUY0.0188025032$400.00
05-16 10:37Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?SELL0.59$770.81
05-16 10:28Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?BUY0.052999999$50.00
05-16 10:25Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.62$3.0k