0x1f55526663a32D5599138ec02be138e537DCe9A4-1768601824177
0x1f55526663a32d5599138ec02be138e537dce9a4
- Realised P&L
- $-30.1k
- Volume
- $4.93M
- Markets traded
- 543
- Open portfolio
- $392.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded543
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.9kat 0.033Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
- +$17.3kat 0.022Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1?
- +$16.7kat 0.023Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?
- +$15.5kat 0.033Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?
- +$11.2kat 0.074Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 23:36 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 22:50 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.1299999987 | $80.00 |
| 05-19 22:50 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $200.00 |
| 05-19 22:44 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.1393857733 | $189.10 |
| 05-19 22:41 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.1399999994 | $192.88 |
| 05-19 22:38 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.15 | $194.55 |
| 05-19 22:35 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-16 23:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 16? | BUY | 0.0451362229 | $14.58 |
| 05-16 23:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17? | SELL | 0.0821908373 | $129.21 |
| 05-16 10:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.0516828087 | $15.00 |
| 05-16 10:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? | BUY | 0.0324415351 | $300.00 |
| 05-16 10:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? | BUY | 0.0188025032 | $400.00 |
| 05-16 10:37 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | SELL | 0.59 | $770.81 |
| 05-16 10:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.052999999 | $50.00 |
| 05-16 10:25 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.0k |