0x1F4e655BB78BBd93038ceaf0040794Cce3df49c8-1776787899753
0x1f4e655bb78bbd93038ceaf0040794cce3df49c8
- Realised P&L
- $44.2k
- Volume
- $269.2k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $32.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar16.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.335 | $32.4k | +$2.5k |
| Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? · Yes | 0.557 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.6kat 0.348Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$8.5kat 0.258Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 14:06 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.9848066327 | $62.8k |
| 10-29 14:01 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.988 | $7.0k |
| 10-29 13:56 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.988 | $707.51 |
| 10-27 18:56 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3477127514 | $24.9k |
| 10-26 21:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3383857673 | $821.48 |
| 10-26 21:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.3k |
| 10-26 21:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.6k |
| 10-26 21:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3003434917 | $12.4k |
| 10-26 21:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.2k |
| 10-26 21:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.321244899 | $4.7k |
| 10-26 21:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3111891735 | $5.5k |
| 10-26 21:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.31 | $483.87 |
| 05-02 17:14 | Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 05-02 17:14 | Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 05-02 17:08 | Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.1996805112 | $50.00 |