0x1f47dfe1f261e2239ad465340e90cdbc03e468c8
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $33.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.440 | $11.34 | +$1.34 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.275 | $6.88 | −$0.13 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.230 | 0.235 | $6.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.345 | $4.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.485 | $3.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.119 | $1.56 | −$0.44 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:01 | Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m? | BUY | 0.5599999496 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 20:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.33 | $4.34 |
| 11-01 12:56 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 11-01 12:39 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1529999933 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 12:15 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3881398738 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 12:15 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 09:08 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2299999958 | $6.00 |