PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rainmemoney

0x1f472f0bdc9e41ae363976ad01c762d1625e1bbd

Realised P&L
$-6.40
Volume
$375.00
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$11.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.6100.605$4.96−$0.04
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1800.165$4.58−$0.42
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.3400.325$1.91−$0.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Down0.6100.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Down0.5600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 10:14Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.3399999966$2.00
10-28 10:13Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1799999986$5.00
10-28 10:11Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
10-26 05:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSELL0.77$8.55
10-26 05:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETBUY0.449999964$5.00
10-26 05:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSELL0.57$5.27
10-26 05:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETBUY0.5399999568$5.00
10-26 05:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.6499999935$10.00
10-26 05:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETBUY0.609999986$10.00
10-26 03:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-26 03:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-26 03:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-25 19:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETSELL0.69$7.49
10-25 19:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-25 19:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.01$1.00