rainmemoney
0x1f472f0bdc9e41ae363976ad01c762d1625e1bbd
- Realised P&L
- $-6.40
- Volume
- $375.00
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $11.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.605 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.165 | $4.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.325 | $1.91 | −$0.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET · Up | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Down | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Down | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Down | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Down | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Down | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Down | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Up | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.05at 0.270Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
- +$5.25at 0.127Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$3.23at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$2.14at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$1.14at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 10:14 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 10:13 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 10:11 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 05:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $8.55 |
| 10-26 05:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 05:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | SELL | 0.57 | $5.27 |
| 10-26 05:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 05:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 05:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 03:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 03:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 03:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 19:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $7.49 |
| 10-25 19:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 19:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |