0x1f3db8b4079468533a45140febe618596bec0c47
- Realised P&L
- $-14.58
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $115.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.775 | $115.98 | −$24.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.90at 0.968Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$2.23at 0.983MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$1.82at 0.985Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 14?
- +$1.43at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.82at 0.983EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 08:15 | APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $140.67 |
| 05-24 08:15 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $136.92 |
| 05-01 10:06 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $135.10 |
| 05-01 10:06 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.999 | $139.86 |
| 03-31 00:47 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.983 | $129.15 |
| 03-31 00:47 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.989 | $134.50 |
| 03-24 10:33 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.983 | $133.69 |
| 03-20 04:55 | Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.968 | $125.84 |
| 03-15 07:13 | Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 03-14 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 03-14 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.985 | $49.25 |