PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1f3db8b4079468533a45140febe618596bec0c47

Realised P&L
$-14.58
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$115.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes0.9400.775$115.98$24.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-24 08:15APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch?BUY0.94$140.67
05-24 08:15Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.978$136.92
05-01 10:06Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.965$135.10
05-01 10:06MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?SELL0.999$139.86
03-31 00:47MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?BUY0.983$129.15
03-31 00:47EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.989$134.50
03-24 10:33EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.983$133.69
03-20 04:55Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?BUY0.968$125.84
03-15 07:13Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.999$129.87
03-14 11:37Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?BUY0.999$129.87
03-14 03:26Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 14?BUY0.985$49.25