Texaslonghorn22
0x1f352a9020a9a9db387263f006bf7776d95e516e
- Realised P&L
- $31.44
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $257.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.954 | $216.01 | +$9.96 |
| Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.965 | $41.96 | +$1.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.49at 0.851Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$28.61at 0.804Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$17.08at 0.311Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
- +$13.32at 0.280Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.05at 0.113Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:09 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.92275 | $36.91 |
| 10-05 05:24 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $212.53 |
| 10-05 00:21 | Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $40.00 |
| 10-04 21:07 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.87 | $44.79 |
| 10-04 21:04 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.889999999 | $45.82 |
| 10-04 20:57 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8929999997 | $150.00 |
| 10-04 20:43 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.37 |
| 10-04 20:40 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7156421783 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 20:28 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:25 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5549999512 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 17:51 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 00:31 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.8609999988 | $50.14 |
| 10-03 20:52 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.9349999992 | $67.00 |
| 10-03 20:52 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.9349999766 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 18:22 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.9191496027 | $50.00 |