0x1f3255d5ab505a656f214568077fd1a4758ee9d5
0x1f3255d5ab505a656f214568077fd1a4758ee9d5
- Realised P&L
- $-79.08
- Volume
- $690.21
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $2.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.895 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · No | 0.510 | 0.425 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.45at 0.452Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$9.50at 0.472Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$8.33at 0.550Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$4.98at 0.671Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$4.77at 0.681Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:54 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 18:54 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 10:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 02:51 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:35 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 22:03 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:02 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:58 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7889999101 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:43 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:02 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 01:13 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:13 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:11 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:42 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7119999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 16:42 | Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |