PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

thsjske

0x1f303bc6937d7d8ed55ba90f2848c6b246e8cc6b

Realised P&L
$-7.36
Volume
$112.11
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$6.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 22? · Yes0.1300.275$4.23+$2.23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 22? · Yes0.1110.120$1.08+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 22? · Yes0.0600.048$0.80−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 23? · Yes0.0700.055$0.79−$0.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET · Down0.5600.000$0.00−$1.00
XRP Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET · Up0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00−$2.00
XRP Up or Down - October 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 11PM ET · Up0.7900.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET · Up0.7100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 22:30Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 23?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-21 13:50Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 22?BUY0.1114427772$1.00
10-21 13:41Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 22?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-21 12:33Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 22?BUY0.13$1.00
10-21 12:32Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 22?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-14 12:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ETSELL0.09$0.22
10-14 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ETBUY0.78$1.00
10-14 12:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ETBUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-14 10:05Bitcoin above 83,000 on October 14, 7AM ET?BUY0.8$1.00
10-14 09:53XRP Up or Down - October 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.25$1.00
10-14 09:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-14 08:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ETBUY0.77$1.00
10-14 08:45XRP Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ETBUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-14 08:43Solana Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ETBUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-14 08:43Solana Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ETBUY0.1799999856$1.00