thsjske
0x1f303bc6937d7d8ed55ba90f2848c6b246e8cc6b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.36
- Volume
- $112.11
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $6.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 22? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.275 | $4.23 | +$2.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 22? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.120 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 22? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.048 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 23? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET · Down | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET · Up | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET · Up | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - October 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 11PM ET · Up | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET · Up | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.02at 0.668Bitcoin above 83,800 on October 14, 12AM ET?
- +$0.49at 0.676Bitcoin above 84,000 on October 14, 12AM ET?
- +$0.45at 0.695Ethereum above 2,510 on October 14, 2AM ET?
- +$0.43at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12AM ET
- +$0.30at 0.773Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 12AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 23? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.1114427772 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 12:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.22 |
| 10-14 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 12:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 10:05 | Bitcoin above 83,000 on October 14, 7AM ET? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:53 | XRP Up or Down - October 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 08:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 08:45 | XRP Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 08:43 | Solana Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 08:43 | Solana Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |