MorfisCrypto1
0x1f2f21eb4ff427895015f89d348608a5d6f3a2b7
- Realised P&L
- $17.91
- Volume
- $303.51
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $0.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNB Up or Down on September 18? · Down | 0.250 | 0.095 | $0.95 | −$1.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.92at 0.803Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$12.09at 0.597Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16?
- +$3.17at 0.618Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$1.70at 0.915BNB Up or Down - September 15, 7PM ET
- +$0.45at 0.991BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:38 | BNB Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 21:24 | BNB Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.8299999916 | $1.97 |
| 09-16 02:47 | BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 02:47 | BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 02:47 | BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 02:46 | BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 02:44 | BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 02:44 | BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-16 00:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.58 | $17.40 |
| 09-15 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |