shangbeining023
0x1f2851c91c9dae44e4b5df4f4a59f8dedef1a514
- Realised P&L
- $103.78
- Volume
- $44.5k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $255.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $255.13 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.50at 0.610Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 20?
- +$10.86at 0.830Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 10?
- +$7.36at 0.943Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 5?
- +$4.25at 0.960Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$2.54at 0.982Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $255.00 |
| 09-19 00:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9989999971 | $254.00 |
| 09-17 06:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $254.00 |
| 09-14 12:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.9979999962 | $253.00 |
| 09-14 02:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $253.00 |
| 09-07 23:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on September 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $252.00 |
| 09-05 00:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9979999961 | $252.00 |
| 09-03 23:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 4? | BUY | 0.998999997 | $251.00 |
| 09-01 01:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $251.00 |
| 08-22 09:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22? | SELL | 0.994 | $251.23 |
| 08-22 03:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22? | BUY | 0.9969999993 | $252.00 |
| 08-21 01:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.9946008122 | $251.00 |
| 08-19 16:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 20? | BUY | 0.997 | $250.00 |
| 08-19 15:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.9949999971 | $249.00 |
| 08-18 01:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $249.00 |