FluminenseFC
0x1f25ad1a311d049ebef063bafa519b04f5b14d4b
- Realised P&L
- $-16.21
- Volume
- $64.3k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $23.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.031 | $17.83 | −$70.24 |
| Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.003 | $3.19 | −$56.75 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.075 | $1.73 | −$2.65 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.002 | $0.45 | −$5.81 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.88at 0.364Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$41.00at 0.470Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
- +$33.60at 0.470Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$32.09at 0.590Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$25.20at 0.210US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 23:03 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0207778367 | $6.26 |
| 06-14 19:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 13:01 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.317 | $5.07 |
| 05-15 13:26 | Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 05-15 13:26 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 05-13 21:57 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0906671334 | $4.53 |
| 05-13 20:08 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.095 | $3.33 |
| 05-13 20:01 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.096 | $2.40 |
| 05-13 19:18 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.09425 | $3.77 |
| 05-13 18:58 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.045 | $22.50 |
| 05-13 18:52 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.045 | $9.00 |
| 05-13 18:52 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.045 | $22.50 |
| 05-13 18:51 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.044 | $4.70 |
| 05-13 18:48 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.044 | $4.40 |
| 05-13 18:41 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.041 | $8.20 |