Folikul
0x1f233430d5b9b9f3abecb584a7915e33e00a9720
- Realised P&L
- $-173.71
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $29.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $235 on October 15? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $29.87 | −$0.04 |
| Rockets vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.59at 0.995Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$0.24at 0.998Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
- +$0.24at 0.998Ripple above $2.40 on January 10?
- +$0.21at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
- +$0.21at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 15:16 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $235 on October 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.92 |
| 07-09 08:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $22.00 |
| 07-09 08:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $22.00 |
| 07-09 08:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $22.00 |
| 07-09 07:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.997 | $22.00 |
| 01-23 15:42 | Rockets vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.6099999761 | $8.94 |
| 04-21 13:18 | Pistons vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.7099999984 | $116.48 |
| 02-07 17:50 | Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 02-04 15:28 | Rockets vs. Nets | BUY | 0.7799596604 | $48.81 |
| 01-17 12:38 | Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $117.82 |
| 01-10 15:32 | Ripple above $2.40 on January 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $117.59 |
| 12-27 18:04 | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BUY | 0.9949999974 | $117.00 |