PolyBot

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Traders

hawk11

0x1f1458937e53cb367dc2a323496a4e6cb53812bb

Realised P&L
$137.45
Volume
$18.3k
Markets traded
164
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded164
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 18:55Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?SELL0.2$1.00
09-13 11:46Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?SELL0.83$17.40
09-13 11:46Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat?SELL0.169$3.54
09-13 11:46Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?SELL0.2$1.00
08-24 09:45Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?SELL0.32$4.95
08-23 16:30Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?SELL0.57$8.81
08-23 15:26Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.8265620674$53.73
08-23 15:26Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.1615382249$10.50
08-22 17:29Will Anne Marie Dryden win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?BUY0.12$2.07
08-22 17:29Will Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?BUY0.84$14.47
08-22 09:26Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?SELL0.8$6.70
08-22 09:26Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?SELL0.204$1.71
08-21 15:57Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?BUY0.76$30.40
08-21 15:57Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?BUY0.16125$6.45
08-14 17:51Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?SELL0.77$8.47