hawk11
0x1f1458937e53cb367dc2a323496a4e6cb53812bb
- Realised P&L
- $137.45
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.88at 0.665Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?
- +$13.96at 0.278Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?
- +$7.73at 0.797Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?
- +$7.23at 0.806Will Esteban "Steve" Guerra win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?
- +$7.00at 0.510Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:55 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 11:46 | Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat? | SELL | 0.83 | $17.40 |
| 09-13 11:46 | Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat? | SELL | 0.169 | $3.54 |
| 09-13 11:46 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 09:45 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.95 |
| 08-23 16:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? | SELL | 0.57 | $8.81 |
| 08-23 15:26 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.8265620674 | $53.73 |
| 08-23 15:26 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.1615382249 | $10.50 |
| 08-22 17:29 | Will Anne Marie Dryden win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.07 |
| 08-22 17:29 | Will Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election? | BUY | 0.84 | $14.47 |
| 08-22 09:26 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.8 | $6.70 |
| 08-22 09:26 | Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.204 | $1.71 |
| 08-21 15:57 | Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat? | BUY | 0.76 | $30.40 |
| 08-21 15:57 | Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat? | BUY | 0.16125 | $6.45 |
| 08-14 17:51 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $8.47 |