hawk11
0x1f1458937e53cb367dc2a323496a4e6cb53812bb
- Realised P&L
- $124.19
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.62at 0.656Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?
- +$17.20at 0.360Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?
- +$15.33at 0.270Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?
- +$8.00at 0.500Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
- +$7.93at 0.828Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:32 | Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election? | SELL | 0.967 | $76.86 |
| 08-02 16:32 | Will Eric J. Tatum win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election? | SELL | 0.0194036236 | $1.54 |
| 08-02 15:54 | Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? | SELL | 0.56 | $4.58 |
| 08-02 15:54 | Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? | SELL | 0.43 | $3.51 |
| 08-02 14:42 | Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? | BUY | 0.41 | $94.65 |
| 08-02 14:42 | Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? | BUY | 0.53 | $122.36 |
| 07-31 22:13 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 22:13 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.72 | $8.65 |
| 07-31 16:23 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.95 |
| 07-31 16:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.59 | $9.12 |
| 07-31 07:57 | Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.96 |
| 07-31 07:57 | Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.4648028674 | $2.59 |
| 07-31 05:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.14 | $12.46 |
| 07-31 05:59 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.83 | $73.89 |
| 07-31 05:58 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.83 | $44.36 |