0x1f095a29677af5d2b742f2445f4a044d69bca3f5
- Realised P&L
- $-109.60
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $1.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.025 | $1.26 | −$2.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.03at 0.548Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?
- +$20.87at 0.125Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?
- +$20.84at 0.334Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?
- +$10.58at 0.282Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$8.45at 0.414Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:12 | Will Max Verstappen Win Max vs 100? | BUY | 0.8399999953 | $7.21 |
| 09-13 11:26 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.77 |
| 09-09 11:37 | Will John Ternus say "Aluminum" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.4199999632 | $2.51 |
| 09-09 11:36 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 01:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 01:29 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 15:05 | Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-06 13:08 | Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1689999373 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 13:05 | Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0839999644 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 12:59 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2712126667 | $4.00 |
| 09-06 12:53 | Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2377491507 | $6.00 |
| 05-29 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29? | BUY | 0.1923076923 | $7.00 |
| 05-24 20:57 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 05-24 20:50 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1069999688 | $3.00 |