PolyBot

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Traders

vayten

0x1f02660f30bd2c380c2b4dd9fb5cec5d49e1e3ea

Realised P&L
$-198.73
Volume
$17.6k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$107.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.3300.355$107.58+$7.58
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$130.00
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner · FaZe0.4300.000$0.00−$10.00
Kraken IPO in 2025? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00−$11.00
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3) · Natus Vincere0.5400.000$0.00−$20.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00−$15.00
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$20.00
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$5.00
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00−$10.00
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$10.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$5.00
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5) · FaZe0.1300.000$0.00−$10.00
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$53.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 15:44Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.3299999989$100.00
03-15 20:33Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0269999963$7.03
03-15 20:32Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?SELL0.0187262729$7.03
03-15 20:31Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?BUY0.0348579364$13.09
03-15 20:31Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.81$6.53
03-15 20:31Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.21$6.56
03-09 17:09US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.17$7.14
02-04 12:51Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?BUY0.4299999966$53.84
02-04 09:36Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.679$23.41
01-31 15:28US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
01-29 16:32US government shutdown Saturday?SELL0.33$33.67
01-29 15:34US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.3699999939$37.75
01-28 17:12US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
01-25 20:54US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.179999987$10.00
01-25 20:54US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?BUY0.0389999963$10.00