vayten
0x1f02660f30bd2c380c2b4dd9fb5cec5d49e1e3ea
- Realised P&L
- $-198.73
- Volume
- $17.6k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $107.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.27at 0.442Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?
- +$78.29at 0.550Will Usyk beat Fury?
- +$77.49at 0.392Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
- +$43.21at 0.758Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
- +$41.72at 0.470Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:44 | Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $100.00 |
| 03-15 20:33 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0269999963 | $7.03 |
| 03-15 20:32 | Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31? | SELL | 0.0187262729 | $7.03 |
| 03-15 20:31 | Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31? | BUY | 0.0348579364 | $13.09 |
| 03-15 20:31 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.81 | $6.53 |
| 03-15 20:31 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.56 |
| 03-09 17:09 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.17 | $7.14 |
| 02-04 12:51 | Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4299999966 | $53.84 |
| 02-04 09:36 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.679 | $23.41 |
| 01-31 15:28 | US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 01-29 16:32 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.33 | $33.67 |
| 01-29 15:34 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.3699999939 | $37.75 |
| 01-28 17:12 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 01-25 20:54 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 01-25 20:54 | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999963 | $10.00 |