PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

francisco18

0x1effe888a6f14bc3026b44cbb845f6a451b40f55

Realised P&L
$18.65
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$13.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6800.185$7.40$19.80
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? · Yes0.6100.225$6.52$11.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:53Will BNB dip to $700 in January?BUY0.9989999823$10.80
01-30 16:23Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January?BUY0.9979999298$5.15
01-30 13:13Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9929999996$12.82
01-30 12:31Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.999$11.40
01-30 12:23Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$36.25
12-30 12:42Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?BUY0.9979996828$1.85
12-30 11:42US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY0.999$7.57
12-30 08:58Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?BUY0.999$15.73
12-29 21:37Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.998$7.84
12-29 20:53Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?BUY0.999$45.93
10-30 22:30Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$26.74
10-30 21:19Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$24.50
09-29 09:54Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$18.93
09-28 21:17Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?BUY0.9969999207$11.75
09-28 20:20Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.9969999999$14.25