PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

EveningAstro

0x1efdf2f4b1639ab8aea60dfc4478a841ff3883ab

Realised P&L
$-98.84
Volume
$125.0k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$604.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9140.911$452.25−$1.13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9210.912$72.07−$0.69
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.0700.075$35.62+$2.37
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0780.072$26.38−$1.96
Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yes0.0300.029$11.54−$0.57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0380.038$6.40+$0.08
Raptors vs. Bucks · Bucks0.3500.000$0.00−$80.00
Raptors vs. Wizards · Raptors0.7400.000$0.00−$100.00
Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets0.8400.000$0.00−$100.00
Heat vs. Timberwolves · Heat0.3200.000$0.00−$200.00
Heat vs. Pistons · Pistons0.6700.000$0.00−$160.00
Pistons vs. Lakers · Lakers0.4600.000$0.00−$260.00
Pelicans vs. Heat · Pelicans0.2800.000$0.00−$60.00
Wizards vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies0.8500.000$0.00−$160.00
76ers vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.4700.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 13:55Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.984$491.59
09-18 09:56Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.24$40.25
01-07 11:48Rockets vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.7$120.00
01-07 11:47Suns vs. GrizzliesBUY0.64$120.00
01-07 11:46Pelicans vs. HawksBUY0.8$100.00
01-07 11:45Clippers vs. KnicksBUY0.6699999993$100.00
01-07 11:44Bulls vs. PistonsBUY0.7899999997$100.00
01-07 11:43Wizards vs. 76ersBUY0.8299999993$100.00
01-07 11:42Nuggets vs. CelticsBUY0.25$120.00
01-06 14:37Mavericks vs. KingsBUY0.6599999989$200.00
01-06 14:36Heat vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.32$200.00
01-06 14:35Magic vs. WizardsBUY0.72$180.00
01-06 14:34Cavaliers vs. PacersBUY0.6699999998$180.00
01-05 17:03Nuggets vs. 76ersBUY0.8299999999$140.00
01-05 17:02Suns vs. RocketsBUY0.7399999995$160.00