brianinchile
0x1efd4cec9306441b12f90b53306b4cfc03298fb8
- Realised P&L
- $-376.67
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $21.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.25at 0.587Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$35.11at 0.367Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$29.89at 0.193Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
- +$17.90at 0.460Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$14.29at 0.584Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 14:51 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0230905858 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 14:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 14:31 | Oilers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $7.00 |
| 10-08 03:15 | Oilers vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 02:40 | Oilers vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 18:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 18:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 13:43 | Kraken vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 04:21 | Oilers vs. Canucks | SELL | 0.0129967974 | $5.36 |
| 10-02 04:12 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.60 |
| 10-02 04:11 | Oilers vs. Canucks | SELL | 0.996 | $15.81 |
| 10-02 03:28 | Oilers vs. Canucks | BUY | 0.0024262054 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:34 | Canucks vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 14:01 | Oilers vs. Canucks | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |