0x1ef966404fec66892385dE78b3f2f291A9147e63-1760092868630
0x1ef966404fec66892385de78b3f2f291a9147e63
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $558.7k
- Markets traded
- 271
- Open portfolio
- $135.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded271
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.880Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.525Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
- +$1.7kat 0.524US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.237Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.273Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 04:50 | Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $37.80 |
| 10-21 03:01 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $7.00 |
| 10-21 03:01 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | SELL | 0.7017388408 | $52.67 |
| 10-20 21:49 | Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $33.68 |
| 10-20 18:29 | Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | SELL | 0.681755 | $54.54 |
| 10-18 21:52 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $99.20 |
| 10-18 07:03 | Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.7016666667 | $105.25 |
| 10-18 07:03 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 10-18 07:02 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 10-18 07:02 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $28.80 |
| 10-18 07:01 | Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $99.00 |
| 10-18 06:09 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.79 | $31.60 |
| 10-17 05:07 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.798 | $31.92 |
| 10-17 05:04 | Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.9050368421 | $51.59 |
| 10-17 04:59 | Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |