1080pp
0x1ef78cbb6e24a9340910a841d17c093654422df1
- Realised P&L
- $37.93
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $68.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$138.00at 0.629US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$84.70at 0.153Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
- +$79.80at 0.202Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
- +$41.80at 0.370Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$37.50at 0.250Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-25 11:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $182.40 |
| 02-14 06:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $140.60 |
| 02-14 06:07 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $13.20 |
| 02-10 12:08 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $68.62 |
| 02-09 08:46 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $150.80 |
| 02-05 07:56 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.243792 | $60.95 |
| 02-05 07:50 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 02-05 06:07 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $60.00 |
| 02-04 11:53 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $140.80 |
| 02-04 09:37 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $67.16 |
| 01-30 14:08 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $60.60 |
| 01-30 00:03 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $93.33 |
| 01-28 14:58 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $152.49 |
| 01-28 07:00 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $40.32 |
| 01-27 16:30 | Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.16 | $7.16 |