PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

actbot

0x1eef2a5f7c7222f1069f8f864b16c24a622a2cd9

Realised P&L
$-86.40
Volume
$145.0k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$233.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8500.865$129.75+$2.25
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No0.7800.805$80.50+$2.50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8590.859$21.31$0.01
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.415$2.08+$1.07
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.20
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$36.50
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$13.86
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$5.98
Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$14.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 08:44Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.85$127.50
07-31 08:44Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.859$21.32
07-31 08:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.985$41.37
06-12 07:15Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.002$5.98
06-12 07:14Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?BUY0.995$23.88
06-12 07:13Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.999$122.88
06-12 07:13Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.003$16.29
04-07 13:43Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.969$189.65
04-07 13:43Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.004$29.46
03-27 09:08Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.005$27.14
03-27 09:08Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.005$36.83
03-27 09:05Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.986$121.28
03-27 09:03Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$25.93
02-28 14:07Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$34.57
02-28 14:06Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.36$50.40