actbot
0x1eef2a5f7c7222f1069f8f864b16c24a622a2cd9
- Realised P&L
- $-86.40
- Volume
- $145.0k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $233.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.850 | 0.865 | $129.75 | +$2.25 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No | 0.780 | 0.805 | $80.50 | +$2.50 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.859 | 0.859 | $21.31 | −$0.01 |
| Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.415 | $2.08 | +$1.07 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.50 |
| Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.86 |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.98 |
| Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.54at 0.736Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$26.07at 0.739Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
- +$21.70at 0.890Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
- +$15.28at 0.840Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
- +$14.80at 0.904Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 08:44 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $127.50 |
| 07-31 08:44 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.859 | $21.32 |
| 07-31 08:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.985 | $41.37 |
| 06-12 07:15 | Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.98 |
| 06-12 07:14 | Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $23.88 |
| 06-12 07:13 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $122.88 |
| 06-12 07:13 | Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.003 | $16.29 |
| 04-07 13:43 | Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.969 | $189.65 |
| 04-07 13:43 | Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.004 | $29.46 |
| 03-27 09:08 | Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $27.14 |
| 03-27 09:08 | Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $36.83 |
| 03-27 09:05 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $121.28 |
| 03-27 09:03 | Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $25.93 |
| 02-28 14:07 | Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $34.57 |
| 02-28 14:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $50.40 |