trump02
0x1eeef901ff1e95446074e13898bba8d654492fc0
- Realised P&L
- $-0.58
- Volume
- $505.42
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $7.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 20? · No | 0.560 | 0.800 | $4.29 | +$1.29 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · No | 0.580 | 0.595 | $3.56 | +$0.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET · Down | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Up | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.34at 0.897Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$1.29at 0.685Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 19?
- +$1.04at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
- +$0.86at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$0.85at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 04:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 03:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.07 |
| 10-20 03:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 03:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $1.02 |
| 10-20 03:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $3.17 |
| 10-20 03:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999733 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 03:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $5.31 |
| 10-20 03:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.699999965 | $4.00 |
| 10-20 01:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $0.88 |
| 10-20 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 01:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $1.11 |
| 10-20 01:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 17:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 19? | SELL | 0.976 | $4.36 |
| 10-19 05:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $3.00 |