0x1ee8aab6b8277bbb292e9eeb5bc2b248430f801b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $100.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? · Yes | 0.525 | 0.745 | $49.66 | +$14.69 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.765 | $30.26 | +$7.71 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? · No | 0.360 | 0.635 | $19.01 | +$8.23 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No | 0.460 | 0.315 | $1.29 | −$0.59 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.031 | $0.17 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.64at 0.339Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of May 11 2026?
- +$47.08at 0.582Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
- +$28.92at 0.643Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?
- +$22.76at 0.317Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
- +$14.98at 0.237Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 13:25 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.15 |
| 05-13 09:46 | Will Cadillac achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.0900846295 | $124.12 |
| 05-13 09:44 | Will Cadillac achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.3k |
| 05-13 09:43 | Will Cadillac achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.99 | $22.00 |
| 05-13 09:38 | Will Cadillac achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.99 | $22.00 |
| 05-13 09:33 | Will Aston Martin achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.0330230205 | $33.45 |
| 05-13 09:28 | Will Aston Martin achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.998 | $989.01 |
| 05-13 09:22 | Will Aston Martin achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.98 |
| 05-13 09:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 11 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $68.86 |
| 05-13 09:14 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $36.40 |
| 05-13 09:12 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May? | SELL | 0.7406643291 | $237.64 |
| 05-12 18:56 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of May 11 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $23.34 |
| 05-12 17:12 | Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.52 |
| 05-12 16:41 | Will "Sweden" or "Swedish" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.50 |
| 05-12 15:21 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May? | SELL | 0.689243078 | $329.09 |