Lauzon
0x1ee6264fc36ae6515ef93ab0bdafda9db5904fbb
- Realised P&L
- $2.51
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $4.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 1.000 | $2.22 | +$1.22 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · No | 0.820 | 1.000 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? · Yes | 0.407 | 0.362 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.04at 0.710Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$0.04at 0.960Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$0.01at 0.993Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.001U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 22:55 | Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? | BUY | 0.4069998344 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 22:51 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 04:16 | Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 04:14 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 04:11 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998694 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 04:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 04:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.959999616 | $1.00 |