bobso
0x1ee324d4241dc8242f6797fec3b3b4ce939053b1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $52.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.065 | $1.2k | −$1.5k |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.37 |
| WLFI market cap (FDV) <$10B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$143.16 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? · No | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$252.63at 0.949Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$133.64at 0.905Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
- +$64.86at 0.430Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 14:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1441394159 | $2.7k |
| 12-04 14:26 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.0060565259 | $100.00 |
| 12-04 14:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.996 | $100.03 |
| 11-09 13:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.982 | $1.5k |
| 10-30 22:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October? | BUY | 0.0531718783 | $29.37 |
| 10-09 10:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9299999998 | $949.02 |
| 10-02 17:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9533144373 | $4.3k |
| 10-02 17:35 | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.9346848573 | $4.3k |
| 09-12 10:36 | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9369999998 | $113.86 |
| 09-12 10:35 | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9345683736 | $565.47 |
| 09-02 21:05 | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $200.86 |
| 08-31 19:02 | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.8920331253 | $398.57 |
| 08-30 12:07 | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.8949999968 | $18.18 |
| 08-29 10:34 | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9010373611 | $416.59 |
| 08-28 21:32 | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.8958640042 | $183.57 |