PolyBot

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Traders

bobso

0x1ee324d4241dc8242f6797fec3b3b4ce939053b1

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$52.9k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1440.065$1.2k$1.5k
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$29.37
WLFI market cap (FDV) <$10B one day after launch? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$143.16
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? · No0.0060.000$0.00$99.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 14:12Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1441394159$2.7k
12-04 14:26Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?BUY0.0060565259$100.00
12-04 14:25Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.996$100.03
11-09 13:08Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.982$1.5k
10-30 22:01Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?BUY0.0531718783$29.37
10-09 10:17Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9299999998$949.02
10-02 17:37Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9533144373$4.3k
10-02 17:35Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?SELL0.9346848573$4.3k
09-12 10:36Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?BUY0.9369999998$113.86
09-12 10:35Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?BUY0.9345683736$565.47
09-02 21:05Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?BUY0.92$200.86
08-31 19:02Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?BUY0.8920331253$398.57
08-30 12:07Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?BUY0.8949999968$18.18
08-29 10:34Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?BUY0.9010373611$416.59
08-28 21:32Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?BUY0.8958640042$183.57