0x1eDE69eCd4Ba78f9ad1E2Bb3ddee522d20cEE395-1780459304890
0x1ede69ecd4ba78f9ad1e2bb3ddee522d20cee395
- Realised P&L
- $-335.92
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $113.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 15? · Up | 0.890 | 0.970 | $38.78 | +$3.18 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 15? · Up | 0.920 | 0.955 | $38.20 | +$1.40 |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 15? · Down | 0.500 | 0.920 | $36.80 | +$16.80 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 15? · Down | 0.526 | 0.005 | $0.08 | −$7.25 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Spread: Czechia (-2.5) · Czechia | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.335 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? · Up | 0.727 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.09 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$189.72at 0.051Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$146.14at 0.123England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5
- +$141.00at 0.266Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$71.68at 0.412Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
- +$59.64at 0.205Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 12:07 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 10-15 12:03 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 10-15 12:02 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 11:58 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 10-13 19:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-13 19:49 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 10-13 19:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 19:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.75 |
| 10-13 19:41 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 19:41 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 19:32 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.67 | $15.41 |
| 10-13 19:15 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 10-13 19:15 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-13 19:01 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 07-19 16:17 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.2325000037 | $15.00 |