PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

a13xcom

0x1ed8da27de4b4a839b1af683fe7c8706254537c1

Realised P&L
$-36.55
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$74.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.3240.135$72.90$102.29
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.6700.155$1.16$3.84
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$29.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 18:59Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.6699998727$5.00
07-17 18:51Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.409999991$10.00
07-17 18:50Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6$10.00
07-17 18:50France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.359999987$10.00
06-01 21:43Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?SELL0.89$133.50
06-01 21:40Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?BUY0.32$0.58
06-01 08:42Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?BUY0.31895$31.89
05-07 03:05SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?BUY0.49$9.80
05-05 16:56Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?BUY0.5599999953$4.81