a13xcom
0x1ed8da27de4b4a839b1af683fe7c8706254537c1
- Realised P&L
- $-36.55
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $74.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.135 | $72.90 | −$102.29 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.155 | $1.16 | −$3.84 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.47at 0.420Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
- +$17.46at 0.371France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$10.00at 0.500SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?
- +$6.47at 0.612Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$-10.29at 0.422Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 18:59 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.6699998727 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 18:51 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 18:50 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 18:50 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 21:43 | Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | SELL | 0.89 | $133.50 |
| 06-01 21:40 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.32 | $0.58 |
| 06-01 08:42 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.31895 | $31.89 |
| 05-07 03:05 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 05-05 16:56 | Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | BUY | 0.5599999953 | $4.81 |