Kdjdjd
0x1ed16996cd2346096a323787cdc3120a72c6033a
- Realised P&L
- $-8.3k
- Volume
- $1.91M
- Markets traded
- 1,573
- Open portfolio
- $0.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,573
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$217.89 |
| Exact Score: EC Bahia 0 - 0 CR Vasco da Gama? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.00 |
| Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.799 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.89 |
| Will CSD Xelajú MC win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.848 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.943 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$579.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.867Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
- +$963.42at 0.920Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
- +$433.59at 0.954Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
- +$402.86at 0.970Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
- +$383.94at 0.965Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 15:26 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.98 | $218.00 |
| 09-20 15:22 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.999 | $208.12 |
| 09-20 15:00 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.96 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 05:48 | Will FC Dallas vs. Austin FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.62 |
| 09-20 04:06 | Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.98 | $479.00 |
| 09-20 03:59 | Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 03:54 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.30 |
| 09-20 03:31 | Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $210.32 |
| 09-20 02:45 | Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9499795754 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 02:39 | Will FC Dallas vs. Austin FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9629922614 | $11.20 |
| 09-20 02:01 | Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.96 | $166.00 |
| 09-20 02:00 | Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-20 02:00 | Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9649666667 | $578.98 |
| 09-20 01:28 | Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 09-20 00:34 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.98 | $300.00 |