PolyBot

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Traders

Fate--Assassin

0x1ecfa6f65271d6c004ec1c1c6267dcfcea0fc99e

Realised P&L
$218.42
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$33.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 16:47Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 17?BUY0.34$2.04
10-16 16:44Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 17?BUY0.17$2.71
10-16 16:39Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 17?BUY0.001$0.18
10-16 16:30Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 17?BUY0.011$0.24
10-16 16:15Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 17?BUY0.105$0.53
10-16 16:13Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 17?BUY0.005$1.77
10-16 16:12Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 17?BUY0.11$1.10
10-16 16:10Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 17?BUY0.11$1.10
10-16 16:10Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 17?BUY0.78$4.67
10-16 15:52Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 17?BUY0.011$0.12
10-16 15:52Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?BUY0.15$2.51
10-16 11:29Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 16?BUY0.001$0.20
10-16 11:15Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?BUY0.49$2.45
10-16 11:15Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 16?BUY0.0257265892$0.75
10-16 09:44Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 17?BUY0.032$2.26