0x1Ec60504a1890a6e6a44b8DbDd94372008280CFE-1758461159987
0x1ec60504a1890a6e6a44b8dbdd94372008280cfe
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $4.24M
- Markets traded
- 7,779
- Open portfolio
- $88.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,779
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.201Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
- +$3.7kat 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$3.7kat 0.515Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$3.7kat 0.640Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$3.5kat 0.120Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 13:43 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0337461046 | $130.31 |
| 05-19 15:43 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0179912409 | $24.65 |
| 05-19 15:43 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0164515234 | $68.34 |
| 05-19 15:43 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.065 | $982.20 |
| 05-13 20:31 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0312761311 | $111.00 |
| 05-13 20:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 05-13 19:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.285 | $59.10 |
| 05-13 18:17 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $69.86 |
| 05-13 18:17 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $42.58 |
| 05-13 18:17 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $442.90 |
| 05-13 18:17 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $98.93 |
| 04-27 18:02 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.15 |
| 04-27 18:02 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.0373703125 | $4.07 |
| 04-27 18:02 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.0222736702 | $5.69 |
| 04-27 18:02 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $10.03 |