Wishfulxthinking
0x1ec4295fcbcd51699c396b8e1930daa674fedefa
- Realised P&L
- $9.8k
- Volume
- $18.26M
- Markets traded
- 3,805
- Open portfolio
- $15.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,805
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.6kat 0.005Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$3.1kat 0.020Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?
- +$2.6kat 0.063Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$2.2kat 0.762Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?
- +$1.8kat 0.041Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:57 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.006 | $12.91 |
| 11-01 18:34 | Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.037 | $35.09 |
| 11-01 18:33 | Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.021 | $22.33 |
| 11-01 18:33 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.05 | $53.22 |
| 11-01 13:16 | Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0189212707 | $19.95 |
| 11-01 01:31 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.069 | $35.47 |
| 11-01 01:31 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.068 | $45.30 |
| 11-01 01:28 | Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.021 | $86.34 |
| 11-01 01:28 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.013 | $69.06 |
| 10-31 22:52 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.034 | $52.07 |
| 10-31 06:17 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.012 | $7.04 |
| 10-30 21:16 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.036 | $28.26 |
| 10-30 13:30 | Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.15 |
| 10-30 13:30 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.82 |
| 10-30 02:38 | Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.025 | $28.69 |