HolaMama
0x1ebd8d087a3e42794ffa670c4fae66de7d3d1c5d
- Realised P&L
- $-764.00
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $7.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 87.5 | 0.410 | 0.875 | $3.32 | +$1.76 |
| Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? · No | 0.770 | 0.885 | $3.19 | +$0.41 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.281 | $0.70 | +$0.38 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.135 | $0.18 | −$0.06 |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.128 | $0.13 | −$0.04 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.667 | 0.011 | $0.03 | −$1.86 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.27 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.51 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.00at 0.880Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$14.17at 0.820Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?
- +$3.80at 0.260Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
- +$2.05at 0.690Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
- +$2.00at 0.680Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 09:15 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $11.03 |
| 08-07 02:17 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 08-03 02:20 | Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $27.52 |
| 08-03 02:20 | Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $11.00 |
| 07-29 22:20 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.57 | $16.24 |
| 07-29 22:20 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.59 | $22.13 |
| 07-24 02:28 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 07-24 02:28 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.12 | $9.50 |
| 07-18 07:43 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $16.72 |
| 07-18 07:43 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 07-17 23:03 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.61 | $6.30 |
| 07-17 20:49 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.09 | $7.90 |
| 07-17 20:49 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.74 |
| 07-17 20:49 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.25 |
| 07-16 20:55 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.4473214286 | $27.05 |