PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

HolaMama

0x1ebd8d087a3e42794ffa670c4fae66de7d3d1c5d

Realised P&L
$-764.00
Volume
$19.3k
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$7.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 87.50.4100.875$3.32+$1.76
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? · No0.7700.885$3.19+$0.41
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.281$0.70+$0.38
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.135$0.18−$0.06
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? · Yes0.1700.128$0.13−$0.04
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.6670.011$0.03−$1.86
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$1.27
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$2.51
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$0.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 09:15Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?SELL0.27$11.03
08-07 02:17Blue tsunami in 2026?SELL0.52$5.20
08-03 02:20Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.54$27.52
08-03 02:20Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.61$11.00
07-29 22:20Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.57$16.24
07-29 22:20Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.59$22.13
07-24 02:28Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?SELL0.08$0.40
07-24 02:28Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?SELL0.12$9.50
07-18 07:43Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.44$16.72
07-18 07:43Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.49$24.50
07-17 23:03No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?SELL0.61$6.30
07-17 20:49Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.09$7.90
07-17 20:49Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.24$1.74
07-17 20:49Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.25$3.25
07-16 20:55Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?SELL0.4473214286$27.05
Trader HolaMama · PolyBot Pro