PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1ebb7743e984a2acb7baCde06B91F0BDA9945940-1764012325037

0x1ebb7743e984a2acb7bacde06b91f0bda9945940

Realised P&L
$-199.27
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$263.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0010.032$126.02+$121.59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.1680.225$121.95+$30.80
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0100.025$12.50+$7.50
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Sweden? · Yes0.0060.049$3.28+$2.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00−$36.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$25.20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$20.75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$3.79
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$12.60
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$81.63
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 09:45Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.2$18.00
09-28 12:22Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.25$2.50
09-28 12:21Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.012$1.20
09-28 08:24Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.012$1.20
09-28 08:14Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?SELL0.14$9.80
09-18 08:15Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?BUY0.17$5.10
09-17 19:48Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Sweden?BUY0.002$0.04
09-14 06:45Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.08$0.96
09-14 06:37Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.001$1.38
09-14 06:36Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.09$4.82
09-13 22:10Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.14$6.30
09-13 21:52Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.15$4.50
09-13 21:27Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.149999997$5.00
09-13 21:03Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.3399999773$3.00
09-13 21:00Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.3599999971$10.00