0x1ebad6a14fabba73333238a86351390e068b5c9a
0x1ebad6a14fabba73333238a86351390e068b5c9a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.59
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $81.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.53at 0.229Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
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- +$8.00at 0.392Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
- +$6.76at 0.575Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.38at 0.818Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 16:37 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.3699999978 | $3.31 |
| 11-01 13:35 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.4 | $6.23 |
| 11-01 13:35 | Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.59 | $2.54 |
| 11-01 13:34 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.45 |
| 11-01 13:34 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.53 |
| 11-01 13:33 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $6.15 |
| 11-01 13:32 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.14 |
| 11-01 13:32 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.11 |
| 11-01 13:31 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.85 | $5.06 |
| 11-01 13:31 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.01 |
| 11-01 13:26 | Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.71 |
| 11-01 13:26 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.02 |
| 11-01 13:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.72 | $4.30 |
| 11-01 13:18 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | SELL | 0.106 | $4.58 |
| 11-01 13:18 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $4.88 |