0x1eb844421b2Ab1b5E8c480E9D3Aa9Ec09503Df06-1772543386082
0x1eb844421b2ab1b5e8c480e9d3aa9ec09503df06
- Realised P&L
- $3.60
- Volume
- $794.83
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $114.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $101.01 | +$1.01 |
| Will BNB reach $1,100 in October? · No | 0.990 | 0.984 | $9.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $4.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.74at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 6-12?
- +$0.30at 0.995EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$0.26at 0.995EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
- +$0.22at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$0.19at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 14:44 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.00 |
| 10-15 14:44 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 14:43 | Will BNB reach $1,100 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 09:57 | Will gas hit $2.50 (Low) by July 31? | BUY | 0.998999961 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 09:54 | Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by July 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.00 |
| 07-26 09:54 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 09:53 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.00 |
| 07-26 09:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July? | BUY | 0.997999983 | $40.00 |
| 06-03 13:21 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.00 |
| 06-03 13:21 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.9967152241 | $70.00 |
| 06-03 13:21 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $40.00 |
| 05-11 12:37 | Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |
| 05-11 12:36 | Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election? | BUY | 0.998999951 | $20.00 |
| 05-11 12:36 | Will Louis Shockley win the Newark mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $20.00 |
| 05-11 12:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 12? | BUY | 0.9986677763 | $30.00 |