PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fercrypto

0x1eb34da4d76c681ac0a94c2df54ab29cabf3ead1

Realised P&L
$533.71
Volume
$46.0k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$466.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9900.992$198.30+$0.30
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9560.982$104.81+$2.72
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3750.165$96.32$122.41
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2130.055$43.13$124.03
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.1500.055$24.10$41.62
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$15.60
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$16.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 20:03Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.15$40.58
09-03 14:58Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.99$191.00
07-05 08:43Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.125$87.50
06-30 23:48Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.005$25.00
06-22 16:08Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.006$60.00
06-22 16:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.139$41.70
06-15 12:49Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$5.40
06-14 16:39Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$34.00
06-14 16:38Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$17.00
06-14 16:37Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$17.00
06-14 16:35Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.049$98.00
04-14 17:30Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.27$6.75
04-14 17:29Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.27$67.50
04-11 21:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.34$71.40
03-14 12:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.32$48.00