sewu
0x1eb23fd2583cd91b5d59933b0f7a452e3f76f60c
- Realised P&L
- $1.59
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $14.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.994 | $12.83 | −$0.06 |
| Michigan Senate favorite on November 2? · El-Sayed | 0.740 | 0.930 | $1.87 | +$0.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 7? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.75 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in December 2025? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Stars vs. Rangers · Stars | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.67at 0.150Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
- +$0.98at 0.570Steelers vs. Bears
- +$0.86at 0.994US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$0.66at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 5?
- +$0.54at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 10:06 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.90 |
| 10-16 10:02 | Michigan Senate favorite on November 2? | BUY | 0.7399999305 | $1.49 |
| 09-02 11:35 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.40 |
| 08-28 15:10 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.40 |
| 07-19 08:28 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.40 |
| 06-07 10:37 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998999976 | $40.00 |
| 06-07 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 7? | BUY | 0.0033588732 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 09:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999989 | $142.00 |
| 06-07 09:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 06:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $181.00 |
| 05-29 09:48 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 09:30 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.00 |
| 05-29 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on May 29? | BUY | 0.9989999575 | $23.00 |
| 05-26 03:12 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 03:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |