0x1Eb0bD6f883723E9338aBC40965286B88748c79a-1757020417232
0x1eb0bd6f883723e9338abc40965286b88748c79a
- Realised P&L
- $-848.95
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $167.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-24.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? · Yes | 0.779 | 0.862 | $127.15 | +$12.15 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30? · Yes | 0.599 | 0.485 | $39.19 | −$9.23 |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.071 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? · Under | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.50 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$695.13 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.10at 0.826Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$4.96at 0.474Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$3.75at 0.160Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:34 | Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.0915304411 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 15:41 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? | BUY | 0.7872982548 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 15:40 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? | BUY | 0.7779999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 09:11 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 14:09 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $13.43 |
| 09-09 14:07 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 09-09 13:52 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30? | BUY | 0.5982590542 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 05:02 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.53 | $3.61 |
| 09-07 05:02 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.81 |
| 09-07 05:01 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.5318318031 | $41.71 |
| 09-06 12:04 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.2419813432 | $8.00 |
| 09-05 16:04 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.2761904604 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 12:02 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.2543019244 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 11:59 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.2307009628 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 20:25 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.4645164702 | $49.23 |