0x1Eb0bD6f883723E9338aBC40965286B88748c79a-1757020417232
0x1eb0bd6f883723e9338abc40965286b88748c79a
- Realised P&L
- $-311.93
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $666.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$551.33at 0.308Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$389.09at 0.525Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?
- +$266.01at 0.349Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?
- +$135.17at 0.359Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31?
- +$82.10at 0.826Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:23 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 21:21 | Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 12:12 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 12:12 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 20:50 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.589999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 20:49 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5894105892 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 20:48 | Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.572101631 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 17:35 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.57 | $840.83 |
| 10-28 18:13 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $125.00 |
| 10-28 18:13 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.99 | $124.55 |
| 10-28 18:10 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6099999975 | $119.00 |
| 10-28 18:10 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.989 | $119.55 |
| 10-28 18:08 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6026929633 | $85.50 |
| 10-28 18:08 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.989 | $85.72 |
| 10-28 17:56 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.599999998 | $122.00 |