PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x1ea806ba212e6d2fb7667391a91e7387dcfad76e

0x1ea806ba212e6d2fb7667391a91e7387dcfad76e

Realised P&L
$48.41
Volume
$16.7k
Markets traded
446
Open portfolio
$126.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded446
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19? · Yes0.3131.000$53.45+$36.72
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on September 1? · Yes0.0601.000$40.86+$38.41
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23? · Yes0.1401.000$18.00+$15.48
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 11? · Yes0.0701.000$7.10+$6.61
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23? · Yes0.1401.000$5.00+$4.30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25? · Yes0.0400.015$1.44−$2.39
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 25? · Yes0.0200.018$0.81−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 26? · Yes0.1200.070$0.10−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$4.32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on August 10? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 21? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 8? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$6.96
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 23? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 18? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 18? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 01:18Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?BUY0.14$0.70
06-18 01:32Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?BUY0.18$4.32
06-18 01:32Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?BUY0.35$1.40
06-18 01:19Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 19?BUY0.19$8.36
06-18 01:19Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?BUY0.31$3.10
06-18 01:13Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 19?BUY0.48$12.11
06-18 01:13Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?BUY0.37$1.85
06-16 01:39Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?BUY0.23$4.60
06-16 01:17Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 17?BUY0.35$10.50
06-16 01:17Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 17?BUY0.29$4.06
06-16 01:12Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 17?BUY0.36$2.81
06-15 02:48Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 16?BUY0.26$2.60
06-15 02:42Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 16?BUY0.25$2.51
06-15 01:48Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 16?BUY0.22$5.50
06-15 01:31Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 16?BUY0.5$3.50
Trader 0x1ea806ba212e6d2fb7667391a91e7387dcfad76e · PolyBot Pro