0x1ea806ba212e6d2fb7667391a91e7387dcfad76e
0x1ea806ba212e6d2fb7667391a91e7387dcfad76e
- Realised P&L
- $48.41
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 446
- Open portfolio
- $126.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded446
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.38at 0.078Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 8?
- +$91.59at 0.213Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18?
- +$90.90at 0.076Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 30?
- +$79.89at 0.079Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 27?
- +$67.30at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 06-18 01:32 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.32 |
| 06-18 01:32 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.40 |
| 06-18 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 19? | BUY | 0.19 | $8.36 |
| 06-18 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 06-18 01:13 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 19? | BUY | 0.48 | $12.11 |
| 06-18 01:13 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 06-16 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 06-16 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 17? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 06-16 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 17? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.06 |
| 06-16 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 17? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.81 |
| 06-15 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 16? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 06-15 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 16? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.51 |
| 06-15 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 16? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.50 |
| 06-15 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.50 |