ps5
0x1ea77a5e8191db9f2c0a18f2692feccd0c47bcd9
- Realised P&L
- $17.2k
- Volume
- $2.96M
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $11.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.0kat 0.395US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$10.2kat 0.042Solana above $130 on March 28?
- +$8.9kat 0.720Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$7.5kat 0.204US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$4.5kat 0.650Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 01:48 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.497498835 | $3.0k |
| 10-28 01:26 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.1423644108 | $662.12 |
| 10-28 01:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.96 | $246.72 |
| 09-16 18:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.99 | $6.1k |
| 09-14 02:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.0k |
| 09-09 16:17 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August? | BUY | 0.8932480977 | $1.6k |
| 09-06 21:39 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.2951041667 | $70.83 |
| 09-05 01:06 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August? | SELL | 0.4879113263 | $51.39 |
| 08-26 13:58 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 26? | SELL | 0.63 | $252.00 |
| 08-12 15:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.33 | $36.47 |
| 08-11 03:22 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.62 | $44.00 |
| 08-09 02:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $8.4k |
| 08-09 02:12 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.5946406805 | $93.67 |
| 07-29 18:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.0k |
| 07-23 02:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.6227383805 | $34.30 |