PolyBot

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Traders

ps5

0x1ea77a5e8191db9f2c0a18f2692feccd0c47bcd9

Realised P&L
$17.2k
Volume
$2.96M
Markets traded
254
Open portfolio
$11.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded254
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? · Yes0.5810.620$11.0k+$686.87
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? · Yes0.1500.340$13.60+$7.60
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9? · Up0.1900.000$0.00−$950.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$120.00
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$360.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00−$997.10
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00−$714.46
Will France win on 2026-07-04? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$204.00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 26? · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$343.69
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$460.00
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots · Yes0.8900.000$0.00−$1.6k
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August? · Yes0.2980.000$0.00−$77.79
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$490.00
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$449.98
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3200.000$0.00−$672.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 01:48Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?BUY0.497498835$3.0k
10-28 01:26Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.1423644108$662.12
10-28 01:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.96$246.72
09-16 18:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.99$6.1k
09-14 02:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$5.0k
09-09 16:17Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?BUY0.8932480977$1.6k
09-06 21:39Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?BUY0.2951041667$70.83
09-05 01:06Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?SELL0.4879113263$51.39
08-26 13:58SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 26?SELL0.63$252.00
08-12 15:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.33$36.47
08-11 03:22Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.62$44.00
08-09 02:37Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.35$8.4k
08-09 02:12Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.5946406805$93.67
07-29 18:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$21.0k
07-23 02:40Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?SELL0.6227383805$34.30