predictrader
0x1ea5c72fca37cabb28c4dcd284e602764d8edc51
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $3.30M
- Markets traded
- 1,772
- Open portfolio
- $125.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,772
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$233.85at 0.020Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 16?
- +$188.01at 0.468Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 3?
- +$122.83at 0.290Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 4?
- +$65.30at 0.928Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$59.38at 0.993Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:08 | Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-17 15:08 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 09-16 11:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9982604838 | $2.1k |
| 09-16 11:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-16 11:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.94 |
| 09-15 12:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-15 12:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-15 12:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 09-14 08:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-13 10:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 09-13 10:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-13 10:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-12 07:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-11 06:32 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.997 | $332.00 |
| 09-11 06:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |