arthgawwda
0x1ea5760f3e1a895fecbc723682c57f99c63bbd08
- Realised P&L
- $-358.96
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $509.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.949 | 0.945 | $297.68 | −$1.26 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.160 | $212.00 | −$172.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.97at 0.727Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-18.92at 0.951Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
- +$-34.92at 0.874Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
- +$-155.75at 0.190Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 08:06 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $298.94 |
| 07-03 02:52 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $44.10 |
| 07-03 02:52 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $44.80 |
| 07-03 02:52 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $51.80 |
| 07-03 02:50 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $49.70 |
| 07-03 02:50 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $42.00 |
| 07-03 02:50 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $56.00 |
| 07-03 02:49 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $49.00 |
| 07-03 02:47 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $48.30 |
| 06-29 03:38 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $60.80 |
| 06-29 03:36 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $70.30 |
| 06-29 03:14 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $67.45 |
| 06-29 03:05 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $57.00 |
| 06-29 03:01 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $76.00 |
| 06-29 02:50 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $66.50 |