0x1ea2cc3f5ac54972bf94307b4aecbc710cf952c5
0x1ea2cc3f5ac54972bf94307b4aecbc710cf952c5
- Realised P&L
- $87.32
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.052 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Francesco Farioli be the next Chelsea manager? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.61 |
| Will France join the Board of Peace? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.66at 0.630Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?
- +$9.09at 0.110Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?
- +$5.18at 0.270Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 11:54 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | SELL | 0.13 | $59.09 |
| 02-08 11:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | SELL | 0.34 | $25.18 |
| 02-06 21:23 | Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 02-06 20:33 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 02-06 19:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 01-23 18:12 | Will the US strike Iran next? | BUY | 0.0216743076 | $3.00 |
| 01-22 11:05 | Will France join the Board of Peace? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 01-18 19:11 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18? | SELL | 0.996 | $227.66 |
| 01-18 13:59 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18? | BUY | 0.63 | $144.00 |
| 01-03 08:26 | Will Francesco Farioli be the next Chelsea manager? | BUY | 0.0051419453 | $2.61 |