PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Lucjano

0x1ea18e908aea6df78952274354c22024bbc017c1

Realised P&L
$-365.14
Volume
$34.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$29.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0050.004$22.50$2.50
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.3060.155$7.13$6.95
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$18.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-18 15:33Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.23$4.60
04-29 21:46Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$5.00
04-29 08:07Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$5.00
04-24 12:24Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$0.44
04-24 12:24Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$5.00
04-23 20:34Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$2.50
04-16 10:17Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$1.49
04-15 06:58Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.005$0.36
11-24 13:59Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.21$21.00
07-30 17:22Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.64$19.20
07-30 17:21Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.64$25.60
06-29 20:44Will India invade Pakistan before July?BUY0.003$3.00
06-02 06:15Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?SELL0.998$59.88
06-01 22:18Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?SELL0.93$46.50
06-01 22:17Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?SELL0.922$9.22