0x1e9b4f3dd4f7a45af5609f6dd58bb4ce601cacf1
- Realised P&L
- $-93.52
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $47.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.075 | $40.39 | −$5.14 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? · No | 0.188 | 0.091 | $4.67 | −$4.98 |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.045 | $2.25 | −$0.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Up | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Up | 0.161 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.26 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Down | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Down | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET · Down | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.19at 0.409Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
- +$-29.58at 0.136Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.1879999972 | $9.65 |
| 09-15 22:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1499999957 | $3.50 |
| 09-15 22:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $4.76 |
| 09-15 22:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999986 | $19.60 |
| 09-15 21:56 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.08 | $19.70 |
| 09-15 21:56 | Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 21:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $33.10 |
| 09-15 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $4.37 |
| 09-15 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1499999963 | $4.07 |
| 09-15 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999951 | $15.07 |
| 09-15 21:43 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1199999943 | $1.69 |
| 09-15 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $15.70 |
| 09-15 21:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999998 | $5.60 |