Steelefd
0x1e97b314b2aa6e662ff8f1aa2aa17a99c8d0ce57
- Realised P&L
- $112.97
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $13.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.265 | $13.52 | −$0.77 |
| Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-24? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.72 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.419 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.49 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.15 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$462.19at 0.500Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$459.10at 0.500Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$453.13at 0.500Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$438.24at 0.500Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$435.75at 0.500 Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 08:29 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.28 |
| 09-16 11:39 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.43 | $28.38 |
| 08-24 11:38 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-24? | BUY | 0.28 | $20.72 |
| 08-20 01:52 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.32 | $17.28 |
| 07-29 02:21 | Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.45 | $24.30 |
| 07-15 08:05 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $76.92 |
| 07-15 08:05 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.419 | $28.49 |
| 07-15 08:04 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $42.00 |
| 07-15 08:01 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $35.00 |
| 07-02 07:44 | Will Solana reach $130 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.00 |
| 07-02 07:43 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.37 | $20.24 |
| 06-23 07:04 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.61 | $23.00 |
| 06-03 11:06 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi | BUY | 0.38 | $23.79 |
| 05-22 02:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $909.26 |
| 05-22 02:03 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $47.86 |