0x1e950d63ad0fbedd80207119d64daaf0cf6076ee
0x1e950d63ad0fbedd80207119d64daaf0cf6076ee
- Realised P&L
- $-10.16
- Volume
- $362.61
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $4.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.675 | $2.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.385 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.87at 0.480Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$2.86at 0.584Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-20?
- +$1.71at 0.667Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$1.58at 0.728Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$0.82at 0.380Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:43 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 10:41 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 07:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $1.09 |
| 09-21 07:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |
| 09-21 07:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.27 |
| 09-21 07:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $0.64 |
| 09-21 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $1.15 |
| 09-21 07:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:29 | Singapore Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Maja Chwalinska | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:26 | Korea Open: Yue Yuan vs Da-Yeon Back | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:26 | Korea Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Polina Kudermetova | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |